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Currencies - Daily Outlook

In these updates our focus is to identify the trend on the hourly chart - the so-called very short-term (VST) trend (this trend usually lasts several days to a few weeks) and to formulate a hypothetical trading strategy that usually aims for 90-180 point moves in the major currency pairs risking 40-70 points. This analysis is updated every day usually between 8:00 and 10:00 CET. If some larger and dramatic movements develop during the day, special updates may be posted during the day at any time. (CET stands for "Central European Time")



EURUSD

Main analysis


Update for: 2012-05-02

Posted on: Wednesday, 02 May 2012 09:11

eurusd vst 20120502



EURUSD: 1.3218

Very Short-Term Trend: sideways

Outlook:

the price action remains extremely choppy as seen from the chart above. What's more, the moves up and down have been relatively small for the past few days. So the outlook is neutral here. But because the hourly Stochastics is oversold, I slightly favor the upside today. So I expect to see gains twd 1.3280. As you can see, this is not something to be excited about. But when the market is trendless, a situation like the current one is something normal.



Strategy: Stay out.



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