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Articles
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Monday, 03 September 2012 |
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Using Technical Analysis To Spot Trading Opportunities In Stock And Forex Markets
Do you believe the news drive the stock market? I do not. In fact, in my 15+ years of experience, I have not seen a single case where an uptrend change has occurred on negative news and where a bottom has formed on positive news. In fact, it is quite the other way around. Usually the tops are found on plenty of good news and bottoms are formed on panic, i.e. on some extreme bad news. Let’s see how the bad news can be used as technical signal in a rising market and good news as signal in declining market.
Take a look at the Apple chart below and see what happens when some bad or good news hits the newswire at a time when the stock market is trending in the opposite direction.
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Friday, 06 July 2012 |
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As you know gold topped out in September 2011 and since then it has spent quite some time trading sideways in rather broad range: between 1520 USD/oz and 1800 USD/oz. As you can see from the chart above despite this sideways trading, the prices have remained above the still rising 100-week moving average (remember, this is really a long-term moving average – it is equivalent to 500-day moving average). What can we expect from this?
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Wednesday, 29 February 2012 |
The U.S. stock market continues to be very strong as any pullback remains shallow and is quickly met by buying demand. The current uptrend has been intact now for almost two months now (since mid-December 2011) without any significant interruptions. The market is overbought and overextended but these concepts do not mean the market will pullback. So, how we can recognize that the market is close to a top or has made one?
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Wednesday, 29 February 2012 |
The single European currency tried to rally last week but failed at the indicated Fibonacci pivot at 1.2870 and declined again. If you take a look at the daily chart, you will see a nice pattern of lower lows and lower highs. You will also see that the prices are below the declining 21-day moving average. All that tells us that EUR/USD is still in strong Short-Term downtrend. And that is not surprising considering the negative news from Europe. Actually it is surprising that EUR has not declined much more considering this news.
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Saturday, 01 October 2011 |
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Most of the commodities markets topped out earlier this year and have declined since then. If the recent declines in crude oil and copper (probably the most important industrial commodities) are to continue, these would be clear signs of slow economic activity and deflationary environment. Gold is usually the ultimate safe-haven but since it is overextended on the upside (after its 10-year+ bull market) it may not be so stable this time. This article takes a look at the Long-Term trends in crude oil, copper and gold.
You can view the full article here. |
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